jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
interesting that 3/4 scenarios are Harris victory conditions
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
interesting that 3/4 scenarios are Harris victory conditions
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
I’m betting on scenario 1
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
“Since 1998, election polls in presidential, House, Senate and governor’s races have diverged from the final vote tally by an average of six percentage points… 2022 midterm elections, that average error was 4.8 points… if the polls are underestimating Ms. Harris by 4.8 points in each of the seven swing states, she would win every one of them… If those same polls underestimate Mr. Trump by the same margin, he would win all the battleground states...”
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
not the smartest “closing argument”, I think
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
CNN reporting those GA bomb threats to precincts were “of Russian origin”
Reblogged by jakedel@mamot.fr ("S. Delafond"):
freexian@hachyderm.io ("Freexian :debian:") wrote:
If you are already using Debian in your organization, and are running current Debian stable or older releases, you might be aware of the Long Term Support available for them.
But do you know why it is equally important to support Debian unstable development?
Gargron ("Eugen Rochko") wrote:
Enjoyed this #CallOfCthulhu campaign by the @ApocPlayers, Dead Light. It's now complete with 3 episodes.
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
troublewithwords@wandering.shop ("Steven Hoefer") wrote:
Maybe you would like to spend 40 minutes quietly watching a man hand-make bread for his mountain village.
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
a snoring pooch is cute
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
gratefulseconds@heads.social ("Grateful Seconds") wrote:
Today my book was published. By myself but not bad huh https://amzn.to/3CeE3Jq
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
a good guide: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/05/presidential-election-night-guide-time-watch
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
coreyspowell ("Corey S Powell") wrote:
To keep my American brain from exploding today, here are some remarkable new deep-space images from JWST.
First, a celestial smash-up. JWST's infrared eyes reveal cold dust that forms the "skeleton" of these colliding galaxies, known as IC 2163 and NGC 2207.
https://webbtelescope.org/contents/news-releases/2024/news-2024-136 #space #science #nature #astronomy
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
sylvia_ritter ("Sylvia Ritter") wrote:
Huzzah! ✨ A new tarot card artwork can be found on my Patreon page. I pre-released it yesterday. Many thanks to all supporters 💌 https://www.patreon.com/c/sylviaritter. The Knight of Coins, featured in this post, has already seen this new addition to the family 🙂 #art #mastoart #fediart
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
redoak@social.coop ("🧟 Night of the Living Red Oak") wrote:
I will try not to say anything else about uspol today, but here's a little reminder that politics describes not just voting or partisanship, but the interlocking systems through which power is exercised, by whom, and to what ends. Voting is one of those systems, and so is partisanship, but so are soup kitchens, and needle exchanges, and zoning hearings, and commerce, and on and on. Voting is entry-level political engagement. if you're fired up about the state of things, look for your next step.
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
heidilifeldman ("Heidi Li Feldman") wrote:
“How to Triumph Like a Girl”
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
joshsternberg.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy ("Josh Sternberg") wrote:
"Ironically, this might partly be why the public doesn’t trust us: We admit our mistakes, rather than doubling down and pretending to omniscience — as the Trumps and Musks of the world do."
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
CNN reporting “non-credible” bomb threats to voting places in the US State of Georgia. these people need to be in prison for a long time.
Reblogged by slightlyoff@toot.cafe ("Alex Russell"):
baldur@toot.cafe ("Baldur Bjarnason") wrote:
“The End Of Independent Publishing And Giant Freakin Robot | GIANT FREAKIN ROBOT”
https://www.giantfreakinrobot.com/ent/independent-ends.html
You basically can't count on any of the traffic coming from Google or Facebook and most media companies, even one that are frugally run, have a hard time surviving on what's left
Reblogged by collinsworth@hachyderm.io ("Josh Collinsworth"):
mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io ("mekka okereke :verified:") wrote:
Susan B Anthony was a bad person. She didn't fight for "women's right to vote " She fought for "*White* women's right to vote." It would be one thing if she just didn't focus on Black folks' right to vote, but she actively worked against it. As hard as she fought for White women to get to vote, she actively campaigned against the Black vote and constructed a coalition of racists to keep Black feminists out, and hold Black voters back.
She was a white supremacist. White supremacists are bad
1/N
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
ben@werd.social ("Ben Werdmuller") wrote:
Just a quick reminder that if you happen to see abuses of power and betrayals of the public trust by government, business, and other institutions today, there's a newsroom for that. https://www.propublica.org/article/election-day-2024-propublica-reporters
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
Naureckas@mastodon.world ("Jim Naureckas") wrote:
Tucker Carlson has always been great at selling himself, becoming whatever flavor of right winger he thought was most marketable. The fact that he thinks demonology is what's selling these days is truly troubling.
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
“What To Do If You’re Stuck In A Line At Your Polling Place On Election Day
The big neon sign is: If you are in line when polls close, you must be allowed to vote, so don’t get out of line no matter what anybody around you tells you.”
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
I like being able to give it a time & place in history and still get a reasonable story idea out. so far, my “seekrit sauce” (aka “system prompt”) seems to be reasonably good at producing (child-) Safe, Effective (at helping adult caretakers of children), and Trustworthy (no sex, violence, etc, & respecting your privacy) story & play ideas as outputs.
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
Lana@beige.party ("𝐿𝒶𝓃𝒶 "not Taylor Swift"") wrote:
Sing us a song you're the pianoman
A hybrid of ivory and meat
You're an unholy instru-humonculus
Born with 88 teeth and 3 feet
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
sam@social.coop ("Sam Whited") wrote:
Workers at Boeing have got a contract and called an end to the strike!
pzmyers@octodon.social ("pzmyers 🦑") wrote:
Stabbing the beast with my little ballot.
https://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2024/11/05/i-did-the-thing/
Reblogged by cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen"):
wim_v12e@octodon.social ("Wim 🅾") wrote:
My new positive climate fiction story is called "Running AMOC".
It's about the impending collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, AMOC for short, which keeps Northern Europe warm in winter and North-East America cool in summer.
This does not sound positive at all, but if we take action now, we could mitigate the worst effects. In my story, I imagined what it would take.
It tells about an international research project that managed to move public opinion and politicians into action. The protagonist is a female scientist of Indonesian descent. Most of the story is set in Scotland, in particular in Helensburgh.
I hope you will enjoy reading it.
#writing #fictionwriting #fiction #story #climateFiction #climateChange
#RunningAMOC
Reblogged by collinsworth@hachyderm.io ("Josh Collinsworth"):
anildash@me.dm ("Anil Dash") wrote:
Hey, friends: today we win. Today will protect each other, and the most vulnerable in our communities. Today we are going to stand up against fascism & violence and joyfully come together to care for those who need protection & support. We do this *no matter* how votes go today, no matter what disruptions or attacks come, so find peace in knowing what does not change, what they can never stop. Once you’ve voted, sign off, and don’t look or scroll if it causes you stress. Tomorrow we get to work.
cstanhope@social.coop ("Your friendly 'net denizen") wrote:
Someone on here (not going to @ them as they know who they are) mentioned Sting's "The Soul Cages", which prompted me to check it out from my local library as I realized I actually don't have a copy and may not have listened to it since I was in college.
Anyway, I was listening to it, and this line from "All This Time" definitely hits harder now than it did then, and it's getting stuck in my head.
"What good is a used up world and how could it be worth having."
Reblogged by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
dogzilla@masto.deluma.biz wrote:
Cornell’s Breakthrough Could Mean the End of Exploding Batteries https://scitechdaily.com/cornells-breakthrough-could-mean-the-end-of-exploding-batteries/