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@taralx ("JP Sugarbroad 🐺") retweeted:
@michael_nielsen ("Michael Nielsen") wrote:
Lovely terse summary of the inscrutability of the future, from the 2001 US DoD:
with quote tweet:
@rhughesjones ("Richard Hughes-Jones") replied to a tweet by @IAmMarkManson:
@IAmMarkManson Annual reminder about the efficacy of predicting the future from the 2001 US Quadrennial Defense Review
Via @PTetlock @dgardner book Superforecasting https://www.richardhughesjones.com/superforecasting-summary/
