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Boosted by jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein"):
augieray ("Augie Ray") wrote:

I am cautiously optimistic that this summer's #COVID19 surge may be quite modest. It's getting off to a very slow start, and there's some evidence that it may not peak at a high level. Looking at Florida as a bellwether (since it surged faster and higher than other states in July):

- COVID may already have peaked. (That uptick in the last day of data is preliminary.)
- And, historically, it peaked at a quite low level.

If other states follow suit, this might be the lowest summer surge yet. 1/2

Two months of COVID data for Florida sewersheds, showing that COVID may have peaked already.
Two years of COVID data for Florida sewersheds, showing that COVID is substantially lower than the summer 2024 or Holiday 2023 peak.