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Boosted by slightlyoff@toot.cafe ("Alex Russell"):
Sustainable2050@mastodon.energy ("Kees van der Leun") wrote:

Big news for the energy transition!
And a nice little 'told you so' moment for yours truly :)
In the first half of this year, renewables produced more electricity globally than coal, for the first time.
And 2025 is the date I predicted for this to happen, back in 2016, in a blog post for Ecofys! The score was 23%-40% at the time, with most of the renewables share still coming from hydro, and the prediction was less than obvious.

Graph showing global electricity from renewables vs coal for H1 of 2019 through 2025, in TWh. Moving from 3400 vs 4500 TWh in 2019 to 5100 vs 4900 TWh in 2025: lines crossing.
My Ecofys blog post of 12 December 2016: When will renewables overtake coal in generated electricity? ending in: The resulting share of renewables in 2015 global electricity production was 23%, according to IEA. For coal this was around 40%. IEA expects the share of renewables to grow at almost 1 percentage point per year, to 28% by 2021, and IEA has a track record of being on the conservative side here. Due to falling costs of wind and solar, and more ambitious policies following the Paris Agreement on climate action, I expect this trend to accelerate. Given the dominance of coal in the remainder, its share will probably drop by roughly 0.5 percentage point for every percentage point that renewables gain. In conclusion, I would expect the share of renewable energy in global energy production to overtake that of coal around 2025, with a share of 35% for both. And in view of the climate, we would actually need to get there even quicker.