Mastodon Feed
jsonstein@masto.deoan.org ("Jeff Sonstein") wrote:
‘Even in the seven-to-eight-seat scenario, Democrats might need to win the popular vote by five percentage points to merely have a 50-50 shot to win the House.
In recent decades, five-point victories in the House popular vote have generally happened during “wave” elections, like in 1994, 2006, 2010 and 2018, when one party ends up winning a large majority. And only once in the past 30 years has it happened during a presidential election year: Barack Obama’s win in 2008.’