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Boosted by baldur@toot.cafe ("Baldur Bjarnason"):
jasongorman@mstdn.business ("Jason Gorman") wrote:

If you're interested in the design of agentic workflows, remember this formula:

R = 1 - (1 - P)(1 - C)

Graph showing how small differences in per-step reliability compound across autonomous workflows. With 95% reliability per step, successful completion falls from 95% at one step to 7.7% at 50 and near zero by 500. At 99%, success falls to 60.5% at 50 steps and 0.66% at 500. At 99.9%, it remains 95.1% at 50 steps but falls to 60.6% at 500 and 36.8% at 1,000.